Midseason NBA Checkup
/We have reached, actually passed by number of games, the middle of the NBA season. Most teams have played between 41 and 44 games. As I will do every year with each sport I do a preview of, I am going to do my midseason update for the NBA. Instead of going through all 30 teams individually, I have it sectioned off into 4 different groups. This makes it easier for me and an easier read for you. Alright, enough talk, lets get into it.
My first section is titled, "Team That Are Right Where They Are Supposed To Be". This section has teams like the Nuggets, Bucks, Bulls, Raptors, Celtics, Hornets, Magic, Clippers, Thunder, Lakers and Suns. Lets dive a little bit deeper into why I think these teams are right where they are supposed to be. Teams like the Bucks, Bulls, Hornets and Thunder are all right around, or just above .500. I did not expect these teams to be much better than that. Sure, some are fighting for playoff spots, but will they do any real damage? I don't think so. The Thunder are the one team I could see doing some things, they do have Russell Westbrook who is having an incredible year, but he cannot lead this team to a title, especially in the West. The Clippers are the Clippers and now Chris Paul is hurt. They will be lucky to get to the second round of the playoffs. The Bucks are okay. Giannis Antentekoumpo is a full fledged star and one of the most exciting players, and Jabari Parker seems to be figuring the game out, but outside of those 2, the Bucks are average, and their record shows that. But, Antentekoumpo has become must watch TV, and I love the fact that he is starting the All Star game. The Celtics are really good, Isaiah Thomas is an awesome scorer, but I do not expect them to push the top teams in the East. The Bulls started hot but have cooled off as of late. They just have too many old guys, and for some reason are unwilling to give the team over to their best player, Jimmy Butler. Until they do that, they will be a middling Eastern Conference team. The Hornets either can't stay heathy, or they are what they are, a .500 team that gets bounced in the first round of the playoffs every year. I'm going to go with the latter. Kemba Walker is great, but this team will not make the conference finals with him as their "go to guy". It is not happening. They'll get to the playoffs and they will exit early, that is their destiny.
The Magic, Lakers and Suns are very below average NBA teams, and that is no surpirse. Sure, the Nuggets are fighting for the 8th seed in the West, but they are 8 games below .500, have no premier scorer or defender and they, while fun to watch, are very ho hum. The Magic are much of the same. Serge Ibaka has brought nothing to that team, Elfrid Payton still hasn't figured it out, Jeff Green is doing Jeff Green things. The Magic are destined to be below .500 until they get another super star via the draft. The Lakers, after starting "strong" at 10-10, have lost 23 of their last 28 games. They are still too young, do not play much defense and they still need a few years before they get it together. The Suns stink, but they are doing that on purpose. Devin Booker is an incredible basketball player, but he is surrounded by guys like Alex Len, Dragan Bender and the corpse of the once great Tyson Chandler. The Suns are bad, but that is what everyone expected. They are in full tank mode. Good or bad, these teams are doing what I expected.
My second section is titled, "Surprises". In this section, I have the Wizards, Kings, Heat, 76ers and Hawks. Let us first look at my bad "surprises". I thought the Kings were going to be much better this year. I did not think they would be like the 4th or 5th best team in the West, but I thought they would compete. Sure, they are in the race for the 8th seed in the West, but whatever team wins that is going to get smoked by the Warriors. I liked Mike Malone as the head coach and I thought Boogie Cousins was going to set the NBA on fire. Cousins is doing his part, but he is still a headache. Mike Malone has been less than superior as the head coach. The rest of the team is just awkward parts that do not fit. The Kings stink. I figured the Heat were going to be bad, but not this bad. They are truly awful. It doesn't help that Justice Winslow is pretty much done for the year with an injury, but everyone else on that roster is garbage, except for Hassan Whiteside. Whiteside is putting up All Star caliber numbers, but he has no help. Goran Dragic wants out of there, Tyler Johnson is incredibly overpaid and the rest of the Heat is just bad. I'm literally shocked at how bad they really are.
Now, the teams that are playing better. The Hawks, after dumping Kyle Korver, I assumed they were going to have a fire sale, but they have stayed pat, and they have looked really good. Milsap is playing great basketball. Dennis Schroder is leading the team. Dwight Howard is being quiet and averaging a double double. Tim Hardaway Jr has been very impressive lately. The Hawks are playing well, and I just assumed they were going to throw in the towel after trading Korver, but they have gone a whole different direction, and it is working for them right now. The Wizards started off terribly, but since John Wall has become unstoppable, and become an enforcer, they have played much better. They have been blowing opponents out lately too. Wall looks incredible and the rest of the team is following his lead, as they should. This is the Wizards team I expected to see from the start of the season. The final "surprise" for me is the 76ers. I have been very hard on this franchise, but when Joel Embiid plays, they look like a real NBA team. Joel Embiid is a legit up and coming star in the NBA. He is so, so good. When he doesn't play, they look like the 76ers, but since his minutes have been upped, and the fact he gets to play more games, they have looked decent. Hell, they went on a win streak recently. The 76ers are still really bad, but with Embiid continuing to get better everyday, they could return to being a playoff contender sooner rather than later.
Section 3 for my mid season update is titled, "Teams I Was Wrong About". This list has teams like the Trailblazers, Grizzlies, Pelicans, Timberwolves, Rockets, Pistons and the Pacers. The Trailblazers have been an absolute mess and I thought that they were going to take the next step after their success last season. Lillard and McCollum are a great offensive backcourt, but they play no defense. The Blazers also have no front court threats and they gave Evan Tuner way too much money. This team is going nowhere fast, and I thought that they would be firmly in the playoff race at this point. The Grizzlies have played very well despite injuries and the age of this roster. I thought that they would be a middle of pack West team, but they are fighting for that 3rd or 4th spot. Mike Conley, Marc Gasol, Tony Allen and Vince Carter are leading the way, and if I was one of the upper tier West teams, the Grizzlies would scare me a bit with their tempo and how well they play team basketball. The Pelicans have been an enigma all year. Anthony Davis started out on fire, but they weren't winning. Then, he cooled off a bit and Jrue Holiday came back and they started to play very good basketball. They dug themselves into a deep hole early on, but they are climbing their way out of it. I thought that they'd be a playoff team, which they still have a shot at, but they have such a steep hill to climb to get there. The Timberwolves, on the other hand, I thought were a year away from the playoffs, but I thought that they'd be a .500 team, at the very least. Well, they can score, but they cannot play defense, and that has killed this team. They have looked better as of late, but they still look like they are a year or two away from truly competing. The Pistons are just downright stinky on offense. I figured they would take the next step and become the 4th or 5th team in the East, but they have no offense. Reggie Jackson has been throwing up bricks since he came back from injury, Tobias Harris isn't scoring, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has not gotten better, Andre Drummond barely sees the ball in the post, this team is a mess.
The Rockets, and the Pacers, were probably the teams I was most wrong about. I thought they were going to implode, just like they did last season, but they have been great. They are the 2nd or 3rd best team in the West, and maybe the 3rd best team in the league. James Harden at point guard has been a revelation, and they are playing this "space and pace" offense to perfection. They still think defense is optional, and I think that will doom them in the postseason, but man are they great right now. The Pacers I was wrong about, but for a different reason. I thought the Pacers had a great offseason, and that would turn into a great regular season. I picked them as the number 2 team in the East, but they have not looked good. They are in the playoffs right now, but they would be a 6th seed I think, and they have had infighting, complaints from Paul George and they just do not seem to mesh well on the court. The Rockets, for good, and the Pacers, for not so good, have made me look like an idiot.
My final section is title, "Teams I Was Right About" This list includes the Warriors, Cavs, Spurs, Jazz, Knicks and Nets. Lets get the Knicks and Nets out of the way first. The Nets are garbage. I picked them as the worst team in my preseason countdown, and they are living up to that "lofty" pick right now. They have not cracked double digit wins yet and they look like a D League team that just happens to be in the NBA. The Nets stink. A lot of people were high on the Knicks after their offseason, but I was not. I did not think bringing in oft injured old guys that were good 5 years ago was going to work, and surprise surprise, the Knicks are mediocre. Derrick Rose cannot stay healthy and just leaves the team when he feels like it. Joakim Noah has become a shell of himself. His air ball free throw last night is the best representation of where he is now and how bad the Knicks are. Carmelo wants out, but who wants a 32 year old "star" that only wants to play offense? Not a contender and I'd wager on that. The Knicks are still a long way away from competing. The Jazz are playing very good basketball like myself, and many others predicted they would. They play great team basketball, and they have a swarming defense. If this team stays together, they could be good for awhile. The Spurs are the Spurs. They play the best team basketball of any team in the NBA and they play suffocating defense. Gregg Poppovich is the best coach in the NBA, and as long as he is on the sideline, the Spurs will continue to be great. Having Kawhi Leonard is a big help too, and LaMarcus Aldridge has been great so far this season. The Cavs, while in a bit of a slump as of late, are still the Cavs. They still have LeBron, Kyrie and Kevin Love and they will breeze their way to a third straight Finals appearance. And they get JR Smith back soon. The Cavs will be just fine.
Then we have the Warriors. They are the best team in basketball, and they are just now figuring out how to play with one another. They are deadly everywhere on the floor and they play the best defense in the league. The Warriors are great and if they do not win the title this year, I'd be more shocked than Clemson beating Alabama in the College Football Playoff this year.
As far as a Finals prediction, it is going to be Cavs-Warriors part 3, and I still have the Warriors winning in 5 games. My preseason MVP was Kawhi Leonard, but it is clearly a two man race between Russell Westbrook and James Harden, and right now, I'll go with Westbrook. He is averaging a triple double after all. Defensive Player of the Year is Draymond Green, no ifs ands or buts about it. He is a Swiss army knife and plays incredible defense. Rookie of the Year is Joel Embiid, and I will hear no other arguments. He is incredible. Coach of the year has got to be Gregg Popovich. He lost Duncan, and the Spurs are still the 2nd best team, according to record, and he is the reason why.
So there you have it, my mid season update on the NBA. I'll come back when the playoffs are set, but as of right now, this is how the season has looked to me, so far.
Ty
Ty is the Pop Culture editor for SeedSing and the other host of the X Millennial Man Podcast. He should not feel that bad, Houston and Indianapolis have been making people fell stupid for a variety of reasons. Follow Ty on instagram and twitter.
SeedSing is funded by a group of awesome people. Join them by donating to SeedSing.